Pre-tourney Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#225
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#213
Pace64.8#255
Improvement+1.7#101

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#259
Improvement-3.9#325

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#189
Improvement+5.6#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 221   Army W 79-68 49%     1 - 0 +7.7 +0.1 +7.3
  Nov 09, 2013 236   @ VMI L 63-71 42%     1 - 1 -9.5 -14.7 +5.6
  Nov 14, 2013 305   Jackson St. L 82-84 80%     1 - 2 -14.4 +3.5 -17.8
  Nov 17, 2013 323   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 67-64 84%     2 - 2 -11.3 -2.9 -8.1
  Nov 27, 2013 95   Richmond L 60-83 28%     2 - 3 -20.7 -4.1 -18.4
  Nov 30, 2013 55   Colorado L 57-81 17%     2 - 4 -17.5 -8.2 -10.5
  Dec 05, 2013 241   South Dakota W 94-86 64%     3 - 4 +0.8 +18.0 -17.1
  Dec 14, 2013 268   UC Riverside W 62-52 68%     4 - 4 +1.4 -17.6 +18.4
  Dec 21, 2013 304   @ UC Davis L 74-80 62%     4 - 5 -12.7 -3.5 -9.3
  Jan 01, 2014 118   Utah St. W 73-72 34%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +1.6 +3.7 -2.0
  Jan 04, 2014 77   @ UNLV W 75-68 11%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +16.5 +11.8 +5.1
  Jan 08, 2014 123   @ Fresno St. L 65-71 19%     6 - 6 2 - 1 -0.1 -2.7 +2.1
  Jan 12, 2014 29   San Diego St. L 72-79 11%     6 - 7 2 - 2 +3.0 +9.6 -6.7
  Jan 15, 2014 284   San Jose St. W 77-62 74%     7 - 7 3 - 2 +4.8 +3.8 +1.2
  Jan 18, 2014 132   @ Colorado St. L 68-74 20%     7 - 8 3 - 3 -0.8 -3.0 +2.1
  Jan 22, 2014 109   Wyoming L 59-66 32%     7 - 9 3 - 4 -5.8 -1.6 -5.4
  Jan 29, 2014 68   @ Boise St. L 58-69 11%     7 - 10 3 - 5 -0.9 -2.8 -0.1
  Feb 01, 2014 139   @ Nevada L 56-69 OT 21%     7 - 11 3 - 6 -8.3 -17.7 +9.8
  Feb 05, 2014 123   Fresno St. L 51-68 35%     7 - 12 3 - 7 -16.7 -20.7 +2.9
  Feb 08, 2014 132   Colorado St. L 56-68 37%     7 - 13 3 - 8 -12.4 -9.1 -5.4
  Feb 12, 2014 284   @ San Jose St. W 51-48 54%     8 - 13 4 - 8 -1.6 -15.4 +14.0
  Feb 15, 2014 29   @ San Diego St. L 56-64 5%     8 - 14 4 - 9 +7.5 +5.8 +0.2
  Feb 22, 2014 139   Nevada L 56-75 39%     8 - 15 4 - 10 -19.9 -11.5 -10.9
  Feb 25, 2014 109   @ Wyoming W 55-53 17%     9 - 15 5 - 10 +8.7 -8.2 +17.1
  Mar 01, 2014 77   UNLV L 67-93 23%     9 - 16 5 - 11 -22.1 -3.2 -18.8
  Mar 05, 2014 31   @ New Mexico L 52-80 5%     9 - 17 5 - 12 -13.4 -15.6 +3.2
  Mar 08, 2014 68   Boise St. W 64-61 OT 22%     10 - 17 6 - 12 +7.5 -4.1 +11.9
  Mar 12, 2014 123   Fresno St. L 59-61 26%     10 - 18 +1.1 -9.5 +10.4
Projected Record 10.0 - 18.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%